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Decision Tree & Payoff Calculator

Spreadsheet

Produces a decision tree + payoff matrix + expected-value (EV) ranking from actor moves, branch probabilities, and 4-dimensional payoff vectors.

Live output preview

Input Format: Decision Inputs (weights + branch probabilities + payoff vectors)Output: Computed Payoff + EV Ranking

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About the skill

Decision Tree & Payoff Calculator

A render engine that turns structured decision data into visual + numerical decision-support output. It takes as input a list of actors, each actor's moves, branch probabilities, and 4-dimensional (economic / emotional / reputational / relational) payoff vectors; it produces a mermaid graph TD decision tree, a side-by-side payoff matrix table for each main branch, and an expected value (EV) calculation for each move.

When to use it

  • When making a quantitative comparison of multi-move decision situations such as negotiations, raise requests, partnership splits, or price haggling.
  • When you need to visualize for the user the branches produced by a strategy / game-theory / change-management agent.
  • When you want to show the high variance of counter-intuitive ⚡ moves in concrete numbers.

What it produces

  • input.json — the root decision, the EV weights of the 4 dimensions (summing to 1.0), and each branch's probability + payoff vector.
  • output.json — the weighted payoff for each branch, its EV contribution, the total EV per main branch, and finally the EV ranking (top 1-3).

It supports 3 behavior layers: rational, bounded, bias-triggered—each distinguished by a different visual style. Branches missing a probability or payoff are skipped with a warning; if no weights are given, 0.25/0.25/0.25/0.25 is assumed. The output is a generic, reusable component that can be shown directly to the user and reused by any decision/strategy agent.

How do I use this skill?

You don't "run" a skill — after installing it you just tell the agent your task (e.g. ask for the relevant job), and the skill kicks in by itself when its description matches.

Upload the decision-tree-payoff-renderer.zip you downloaded as-is — no packaging needed, the format is already correct (folder at root).

  1. Open Settings → Customize → Skills
  2. Upload → select the decision-tree-payoff-renderer.zip you downloaded
  3. Claude reads SKILL.md; the name + description appear. Ready ✅

Scripts run in Anthropic's code-execution environment (sandbox) — not on your machine.